Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 177.234238 204.918768 236.530107 275.515749 322.602292 378.014199 448.716323
2025-08-31 138.461891 172.912034 216.190166 275.365717 355.456514 461.986124 617.685700
2025-09-07 118.258164 155.623187 205.762526 279.550106 388.153718 546.773096 805.125620
2025-09-14 99.916853 136.561420 188.162815 268.395043 394.325204 592.325857 944.613475
2025-09-21 89.140377 125.936890 180.005815 268.336876 415.405606 663.237294 1143.584302
2025-09-28 81.186089 118.085525 174.388710 270.556969 439.577268 743.523653 1383.353993
2025-10-05 77.796542 116.543241 177.987348 287.900819 492.454035 887.071120 1797.817364
2025-10-12 74.375469 114.406257 180.136847 302.814587 543.667122 1040.596949 2296.410272
2025-10-19 68.650831 107.787659 173.819924 301.262416 562.445884 1131.795807 2684.922402
2025-10-26 65.258311 104.668483 173.078408 309.879321 603.472772 1283.183896 3303.840656
2025-11-02 61.563486 100.605897 170.098095 313.535523 634.496915 1420.011700 3953.756782
2025-11-09 57.928686 96.268224 166.070942 314.371313 659.264092 1548.599327 4652.467322
2025-11-16 53.767251 90.962800 160.341752 312.415564 681.342725 1689.684532 5541.844661
2025-11-23 50.198118 86.449259 155.726079 312.452153 709.517298 1862.962189 6721.424059
2025-11-30 47.529932 83.335690 153.463835 317.338600 751.661146 2097.611035 8408.381953
2025-12-07 43.480318 77.152511 144.196533 304.332643 742.046698 2161.010918 9346.662305
2025-12-14 41.014671 73.848365 140.556471 304.264875 769.354654 2365.974787 11309.334477
2025-12-21 39.009643 71.269679 138.152852 306.851922 805.460112 2622.706285 13974.826328
2025-12-28 38.510424 71.698998 142.346061 327.086691 902.753667 3179.762330 19801.408818
2026-01-04 37.778624 71.563252 145.247258 344.519615 997.371697 3793.611060 27735.561207
2026-01-11 35.827723 68.652311 141.413474 342.703860 1025.146530 4115.288846 33845.264118
2026-01-18 34.759265 67.553990 141.721679 352.788078 1099.999809 4734.820142 45651.012418
2026-01-25 33.425915 65.753769 140.136680 357.069812 1154.790097 5293.282172 59314.993687